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How Low Can Snow Go?

April 1, 2015

California set a new "low water" mark today with its early-April snowpack measurement. The statewide electronic reading of the snowpack's water content stood at 5 percent of the April 1st average. Today's content was only 1.4 inches, or 5 percent of the 28-inch average. The lowest previous reading since 1950 was 25 percent of average, so Water Year 2015 is the driest winter in California's written record.

Up in the Sierra Nevada, the media-oriented snow survey at the traditional Phillips Station snow course just off Highway 50 90 miles east of Sacramento found no snow whatsoever today. At 6,800 feet, Phillips should be covered in snow this time of year as the snowpack reaches its peak. The average depth at Phillips since surveys began there in 1941 had been 66.5 inches, so to find not a flake in the meadow was remarkable and dismaying in equal parts.

Governor Edmund G. Brown Jr. attended the survey for the first time in his four terms as the state's chief executive. "We're standing on dried grass," he said, "and we should be standing in five feet of snow. We're in an historic drought, and that demands unprecedented action."

The Governor issued an executive order today mandating substantial water reduction across the state. "As Californians, we have to pull together and save water in every way we can," he said. "This executive order which I signed today, it's long, it covers a number of different details. In fact, I've never seen one quite like it before."

"People should realize," he continued, "we're in a new era. The idea of your nice little green grass getting lots of water every day – that could be a thing of the past."

Elsewhere, California's major reservoirs such as Lake Shasta and Lake Oroville continue to see their storage shrink each day as a percentage of their daily averages measured over the past several decades. Water continues to run into the reservoirs, but because precipitation is so far below normal, the daily averages are running ahead of the reservoirs' ability to keep up. Shasta and Oroville now are at 73 percent and 67 percent of their historic averages respectively at the beginning of April.

Less than two inches of rain have fallen since early February on the eight Northern California stations that are tracked continuously. Although their index was above its historic average until mid-January, it now is only 76 percent of normal in early April. The San Joaquin and Tulare Basin readings are much worse – just 41 percent and 42 percent of normal respectively.

With California's traditional wet season already over and no significant rainfall in the forecast, the drought is now firmly rooted in its fourth consecutive year.

California's Droughts – Past and Present

March 25, 2015

Although weather conditions constantly change, drought has been a recurring certainty in California's climate for thousands of years as revealed by tree rings and geological records. The Department of water Resources has issued a new report, "California's Most Significant Droughts: Comparing Historical and Recent Conditions," with a wealth of information about California's climate and lessons learned from previous droughts that may have a bearing on how Californians cope with the current drought.

The report was prepared by Jeanine Jones, DWR Deputy Drought Manager and Interstate Resources Manager. It compares the severity and impacts of California's most significant droughts – 1929 to 1934, 1976 to 1977 and 1987 to 1992 – and also details the ongoing drought, which began in 2012.

The report covers a wide range of issues and highlights the need for better data about groundwater conditions, improved drought prediction capability and better drought preparedness for small water systems as California's climate changes to drier and warmer conditions. The "California's Most Significant Droughts" report can be accessed here.

Rain, Snow Drastically Lower in State

March 25, 2015

This winter's "wet season" has been a big disappointment in California. Half of the state's annual rainfall normally falls in December, January and February, and although December and February did experience brief stormy periods, California recorded less rain in January than any January before it.

Between those early-February storms and late March, less than two inches of rain was recorded at the eight stations DWR regularly tracks in Northern California, where precipitation is captured for distribution by the State Water Project and federal Central Valley Project. Historically, at least 10 inches of rain would have fallen at those stations during that period. Conditions were even drier in the San Joaquin and Tulare regions of the Central Valley; precipitation there was less than 45 percent of their historical averages by late March.

Warm temperatures combined with little precipitation resulted in a meager snowpack in the Sierra Nevada. The snowpack usually builds until the end of March in non-drought years and then begins its slow release of water to recharge reservoirs as it melts. This year, however, the snow water equivalent – a measure of the snowpack's water content – steadily declined and was approaching a record low as DWR prepared for the season's fourth manual measurement in early April. The shrinkage of the "mountain reservoir" suggested Californians could count on little runoff this summer to meet their needs.

Winter Storms Do Little To Impact Drought

February 10, 2015

It's a sign of the times that when "good news" flows California's way, it nevertheless may have something to do with "bad news" water conditions. U.S. Secretary of the Interior Sally Jewell announced in early February $20 million in federal funding for drought relief projects in California. http://www.doi.gov/news/pressreleases/secretary-jewell-announces-50-million-for-western-drought-response.cfm

Praising the release of Bureau of Reclamation funds, Governor Edmund G. Brown Jr. said: "This important investment will help us improve how we save and move water, while continuing to protect sensitive habitat and wildlife. Even with recent storms, we have a long, dry trek ahead, and a close partnership with the federal government is crucial."

The Governor's remarks came just as two new storms bore down on the state and delivered significant rainfall. But while the soaking increased storage in California's major reservoirs, almost all of them remained far below their historical averages for early February, and drought conditions are unabated.

The storms were too warm to deliver significant amounts of snow to the Sierra Nevada, and the water equivalent of the state's snowpack also remained far below normal for this time of the wet season. Without a melting snowpack during the late spring and summer months, reservoir storage will likely remain inadequate to satisfy the requests of State Water Project (SWP) contractors.

The Department of Water Resources (DWR) announced in January that it would increase expected water deliveries in 2015 to most SWP customers from 10 percent of their requested amounts to 15 percent. The new allocation was made after early-December storms and replaced the initial allocation of 10 percent announced on December 1.

Also in January, DWR and the Bureau of Reclamation submitted a drought contingency plan to state regulators highlighting potential modifications to water quality rules and water rights permits that project operators may seek, depending on the weather.

The early submittal of the plan to the State Water Resources Control Board reflects an unprecedented level of coordination and planning among the state and federal agencies that either operate water projects based in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta or regulate those projects. Tight coordination in recent months allowed the projects to store storm runoff without violating statutory and regulatory obligations to protect water quality and wildlife,'

While the December and February storms delivered significant rainfall, California has had too few of these storms this winter to offset more than three years of drought. On average, California is drenched by six atmospheric-river storms during the critical winter period -- one every other week. That isn't happening this winter; many communities recorded little if any rain in January.

The 29 public water agencies that take delivery of SWP supplies have requested 4,172,686 AF. With the new allocation, contractors will receive 635,759 AF. If the contractors' health and safety needs cannot be met by that allocation, DWR may increase deliveries to satisfy those needs. An acre-foot is roughly enough water to meet the needs of a family of four for one year.

DWR Director Mark Cowin said although allocations have been increased, the current divergence from average conditions due to the drought makes water conservation as important as ever. "We cannot stress enough," he said, "that water conservation will be critical in stretching our supplies to the maximum extent possible throughout the coming year."

Delta Pumping Slowed to Avoid Drawing Smelt toward Pumps

December 15, 2014

To reduce the near-term risk to delta smelt and longfin smelt, and to head off potentially more severe cutbacks in water diversions this winter, the operators of the State Water Project and Central Valley Project will slow the rate at which they are pumping storm runoff from the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta.

By Tuesday, the combined pumping levels for both projects will fall from approximately 11,000 cubic feet per second to roughly 7,000 cfs, even as modest storms are expected to boost runoff. The curtailment is a proactive effort on the part of SWP and CVP operators to avoid drawing turbid storm runoff toward the south Delta pumps that the projects use to supply 25 million Californians and three million acres of irrigated farmland.

The turbidity generated by this first set of big storms is very high and presents a significant risk of creating a turbidity bridge in the central and south Delta. Creating an expansive turbidity plume into the central Delta may make future management of smelt distribution difficult. The turbidity generated as these first big storms of the season churn streambeds and sweep away debris may draw smelt closer to the water project pumps in the south Delta. By curbing pumping levels now, water project operators hope to avoid a situation that would lead to a marked increase in entrainment of either delta or longfin smelt at the pumping plants and force a longer, more drastic cutback of pumping.

Foregoing the capture of tens of thousands of acre-feet of water over the next several days may allow water project operators to avoid the loss of hundreds of thousands of acre-feet of water supply later in the winter.

The Department of Water Resources and the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, which operate the SWP and the CVP respectively, are coordinating Delta operations closely with federal and state wildlife agencies.

In December 2012, a plume of turbidity that extended into the central Delta helped to create the situation in which water project operators severely curtailed pumping storm runoff in order to avoid harm to smelt. As a result, hundreds of thousands of acre-feet of water were not moved into reservoir storage. Conditions quickly turned severely dry. In 2013, urban and agricultural water districts that depend upon the SWP and CVP got a small fraction of the supplies for which they contract.

Federal and state water and wildlife agencies, working together on a real-time drought operations team, will continue to monitor turbidity levels in the Delta and the movement of delta and longfin smelt, and will adjust pumping levels accordingly.

Federal, State Agencies Plan Drought Operations for 2015

December 12, 2014

This week brings sorely needed and significant precipitation to California. But similar levels of rain and snow would have to fall consistently throughout this winter and spring for the state to begin to recover from extreme drought conditions. In preparation for a fourth year of drought, the directors of five federal and state agencies primarily involved in operating and regulating California's two biggest water projects, the federal Central Valley Project and the State Water Project, together have developed a strategy for potential implementation. State and federal agencies have developed a plan for 2015 operations and a summary of key lessons learned during 2014 in managing this extreme drought.

Groundwater Report Cover
Public Update on Groundwater Conditions

On November 25, 2014, DWR released the Drought Response report as required by the Governor's April 2014 Proclamation of a Continued State of Emergency. The report identifies groundwater basins with potential water shortages, gaps in groundwater monitoring, and includes a summary of land subsidence monitoring and agricultural land fallowing. For the latest groundwater level data and detailed information regarding groundwater and groundwater management in California, please visit DWR's Groundwater Information Center at www.water.ca.gov/groundwater.


Water Year 2014 Ends as 3rd Driest in Precipitation

On Heels of Driest-Ever Calendar Year

Water Year 2014 – overlapping with California's driest calendar year -- ended on September 30 as the state's third driest in 119 years of record, based on statewide precipitation.

(Graphics below show the state's aggregated precipitation in calendar year 2013 was a mere 7 inches, followed by 12.08 inches in Water Year 2014 (October 1, 2013 – September 30, 2014).

So California's deepening drought is racking up some impressive – and destructive –scores as we approach what could be another dry winter.

California has been warm as well as dry.

NOAA's National Climatic Data Center reported that in the first nine months of 2014, California temperatures averaged 63.7º F, or 4.1º F above the 20th century average of 59.6 ºF. Temperatures from April to September averaged 70.0º F, breaking the old record for the period of 69.4º F set in 2013.

And in late July, the U.S. Drought Monitor classified 58 percent of California in "exceptional" drought, the worst category, and that percentage remained unchanged through September. More than 80 percent was in "extreme" drought.

A close eye is being kept on California's reservoir storage which is being drawn down daily to meet California's essential needs for humans, fish and wildlife.

On January 17, Gov. Edmund G. Brown Jr. declared a drought state of emergency. On April 25, Governor Brown asked all Californians to redouble their efforts to conserve water, instructed agencies to cut red tape to get water to farmers more quickly, ensure that people have safe drinking water, protect vulnerable wildlife species and prepare for an extreme fire season. Read the executive order at http://gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=18496.

The proclamation is available here: http://www.gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=18368.

Statewide Storage

As the Water Year ended on September 30, the state's major reservoirs collectively held only 60 percent of average storage for the date, or about 41 percent of capacity. Cumulative reservoir storage in 1977, California's driest calendar year on record, was approximately five million acre-feet less than this year, but the state had 16 million fewer people then.

Due to the extended dry period and forecasters' inability to predict the drought's end, DWR is delivering a record low five percent of the requested amount of State Water Project water, while the federal Central Valley Project has reduced deliveries to zero for some junior rights holders.

Forest fires, brown lawns, food banks, groundwater legislation and water management debates all are consequences of a deepening drought as the winter months approach without a good reading of whether they will be wet or dry.

"The immediate certainty is that day-to-day conservation – wise, sparing use of water – is essential as we face the possibility of a fourth dry winter," said DWR Director Mark Cowin.

Predictions of El Nino conditions that sometimes alter precipitation patterns have changed during 2014.

But meteorologists note that the El Nino phenomenon is not a reliable indicator of weather in California, especially not in the Northern Sierra watersheds that feed some of the state's largest reservoirs. El Nino is much like its cousin "La Nada" when it comes to its effects on California weather.

DWR and the Association of California Water Agencies urge all Californians to conserve water by following the advice and tips found at http://SaveOurWater.com.

DWR's California Data Exchange Center Web site shows current water conditions at the state's largest reservoirs and weather stations.

Reservoirs: http://cdec.water.ca.gov/reservoir.html
Precipitation: http://cdec.water.ca.gov/snow_rain.html

Legislation Becomes Law

As California's drought deepens, Governor Edmund G. Brown Jr. on September 16 signed historic legislation to ensure a sustainable supply of California groundwater. The three-year drought has increased groundwater extraction in many regions of the state and led to over-drafting and water shortages in some communities. The new law mandates the creation of local groundwater management agencies that will monitor extraction and create sustainability plans that must be in place in 20 years. DWR is given expanded responsibilities under the law, including requirements to revise groundwater basin boundaries and create guidelines for local agencies to write their Sustainable Groundwater Management Plans. More on the historic legislation here: http://gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=18701

Drought Barriers Cancelled for 2014

February and March storms that slightly boosted water deliveries also eliminated the immediate need for salinity barriers in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta to control saltwater intrusion from San Francisco Bay, as described in this April 18 news release. The rock barriers would have been installed at Sutter and Steamboat sloughs near Courtland and False River near Oakley. DWR continued to assess water supply and demand in the weeks following the April 18 announcement and concluded in late May that the barriers will not be needed in 2014. Planning and permitting will continue for the barriers' possible installation in 2015 if drought conditions persist into a fourth consecutive dry year.

The fifth and final snow survey of the season on May 1 recorded manual and electronic readings of the statewide snowpack's water content – which normally provides about a third of the water for California's farms and cities – at a mere 18 percent of average for the date. By late May, the Sierra snowpack's water equivalent statewide had decreased to almost zero.

When Governor Brown declared a drought State of Emergency in January, he directed state officials to take all necessary actions to prepare for water shortages. CAL FIRE recently announced it hired 125 additional firefighters to help address the increased fire threat due to drought conditions, the California Department of Public Health identified and offered assistance to communities at risk of severe drinking water shortages and the California Department of Fish and Wildlife restricted fishing on some waterways due to low water flows worsened by the drought. Also in January, the California Natural Resources Agency, the California Environmental Protection Agency and the California Department of Food and Agriculture also released the California Water Action Plan, which will guide state efforts to enhance water supply reliability, restore damaged and destroyed ecosystems and improve the resilience of our infrastructure.

For more information on drought, see http://www.water.ca.gov/waterconditions/droughtinfo.cfm.

Dry Water Years

Dry Calendar Years

WRCC climate region dry years